What First-Line Supervisors of Security Workers Actually Move Into
Occupation move map · Protective Service · Also covers: Other First-Line Supervisors of Protective Service Workers
Most career-change advice for first-line supervisors of security workers is somebody's opinion. This page is not. It is built from 58,121 observed occupation changes in the U.S. Current Population Survey — real people, tracked from one job to the next, not survey respondents describing what they would like to do.
Of every 100 first-line supervisors of security workers who moved to a different occupation group, here is where they went.
| Destination | Share of movers | Observations | Move type | Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gambling Surveillance Officers and Gambling Investigators | 4.0% | 73 | lateral | Observed |
| Bailiffs | 5.5% | 13 | lateral | Thin evidence (fewer than 30) |
| Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers | 5.3% | 11 | lateral | Thin evidence (fewer than 30) |
| Detectives and Criminal Investigators | 5.3% | 4 | lateral | Thin evidence (fewer than 30) |
| Crossing Guards and Flaggers | 3.9% | 8 | lateral | Thin evidence (fewer than 30) |
| Private Detectives and Investigators | 3.7% | 4 | lateral | Thin evidence (fewer than 30) |
The most common destination is gambling surveillance officers and gambling investigators, at 4.0% of movers (73 observed transitions); the second is bailiffs at 5.5% (13). Neither is a default outcome: the leading move is roughly a 1-in-25 result among people who move at all.
Seen at the group level, split estimated
Movers from first-line supervisors of security workers were observed entering the occupation groups these belong to, but the split to each specific occupation was not directly observed, so no share is shown.
- Parking Enforcement Workers — estimated, 0 direct observations
- Fish and Game Wardens — estimated, 0 direct observations
Occupations with a similar skill profile
Ranked by skill similarity from O*NET, not by observed moves. A place to look, not a measured path.
- Administrative Services Managers
- First-Line Supervisors of Correctional Officers
- Aircraft Cargo Handling Supervisors
- First-Line Supervisors of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers
- Other Business Operations Specialists
- First-Line Supervisors of Office and Administrative Support Workers
Who moves into first-line supervisors of security workers
The occupations whose movers most often arrive here, by observed transitions.
- Gambling Surveillance Officers and Gambling Investigators — 50 observed moves (2.0% of that occupation's movers)
How to read these numbers honestly
These are shares conditional on moving — the denominator is people in this occupation who changed to a different occupation group, not everyone in it. Most people in any given period do not move at all, so this page tells you the direction of movement, not how likely you are to move.
The underlying occupation codes are re-derived from job descriptions at each interview, which manufactures some transitions that never happened. We control for that four ways: we work at coarse occupation groupings rather than fine codes, we down-weight occupation changes not corroborated by an employer or industry change, we prefer the dependent-coded monthly survey over the retrospective annual one, and we shrink thin cells toward a skill-similarity prior. The residual uncertainty is why every row carries its observation count.
A row is marked Observed when at least 30 direct transitions were recorded; Thin evidence when fewer were; and Estimated when none were — the move to that occupation's group was observed, and the split to this particular occupation is allocated by skill similarity, so no share is shown.
Snapshot cps-movegraph-759b8583ddf6, frozen June 30, 2026. Held-out validation: precision@5 of 0.238, against 0.163 for a popularity baseline and 0.154 for a skill-similarity baseline.
What this page cannot tell you
It cannot tell you which of these moves fits your own record. A destination that many movers take is still the wrong move for most individuals — the ranking is population-level, and your last three roles, your credentials and what you actually want change it substantially.
See which of these moves your own experience already supports.
Career Companion reads your résumé and scores these destinations against what you have actually done, not against the population average. Start free →